Will Trump say "Melania" before May 4, 2026?
This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$485K
Best sibling
Barack Hussein Obama 99¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MELA
Price history
99¢ current
+34¢Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Melania, or a plural or possessive form of Melania, is stated by Donald Trump after April 27th at 10:00am ET and before May 4, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 4, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MELA
Event family
Will Trump say ".
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$485K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Melania 99¢
Current share
7%
Melania
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MELA
Barack Hussein Obama
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-BARA
Autism
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-AUTI
Newscum
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-NEWS
Mog / Mogged / Mogging
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MOG
Sleepy Joe
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-SLEE
Transgender
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-TRAN
50,000
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-50
Who are you with / Where are you from
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-WHO
Thug
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-THUG
Karoline / Leavitt
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-KARO
Drill Baby Drill
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-DRIL
Warsh
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-WARS
Uranium
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-URAN
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-TDS
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-RIGG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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