SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 4, 2026

Will Trump say "Mog / Mogged / Mogging" before May 4, 2026?

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$107K volume
$105K liquidity
23% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$462K

Best sibling

Barack Hussein Obama 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MOG

Price history

1¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢24K
3¢2.3K
4¢2.0K
5¢25
100¢40K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Mog / Mogged / Mogging, or a plural or possessive form of Mog / Mogged / Mogging, is stated by Donald Trump after April 27th at 10:00am ET and before May 4, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-MOG

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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