Rigged Election / Stolen Election · Will Trump say "
Rigged Election / Stolen Election is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
26¢ current
−46¢Contract brief
If Rigged Election / Stolen Election, or a plural or possessive form of Rigged Election / Stolen Election, is stated by Donald Trump after May 25th at 5:00pm ET and before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Autism 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$82K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-RIGG
May 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$82K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rigged Election / Stolen Election, or a plural or possessive form of Rigged Election / Stolen Election, is stated by Donald Trump after May 25th at 5:00pm ET and before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-RIGG
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$82K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Autism 99¢
Current share
1%
Autism
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-AUTI
Transgender
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-TRAN
Barack Hussein Obama
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-BARA
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-PRED
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-CRYP
Tulsi / Gabbard
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-TULS
Uranium
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-URAN
Landslide
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-LAND
Ballroom
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-BALL
Melania
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-MELA
Mutilation / Mutilization
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-MUTI
Sleepy Joe
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-SLEE
Newscum
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-NEWS
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-RIGG
Golden Dome
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-GOLD
Mog / Mogged / Mogging
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01-MOG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 26% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.