SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202653 days left

Will Trump say "Trump University" before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 31¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$458 volume
$368 liquidity
86% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$533

Best sibling

Trump Airport 37¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-UNIV

Market snapshot

Trump University in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump say "Trump University" before Jul 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $458. In the Will Trump say " family, this outcome ranks #7 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Trump University

Family rank

#7 of 8

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 1, 2026

Reported volume

$458

Family context

8 outcomes · Will Trump say "

Quote range

3¢-65¢

Family leader

Trump Kennedy Center 65¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-UNIV. Family volume: $533.

Price history

18¢ current

+16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 34¢

Kalshi
31¢ spread
BidSize
100¢600
3¢5
2¢85
AskSize
35¢55
42¢75
43¢150
99¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Trump University, or a plural or possessive form of Trump University, is stated by Donald Trump after April 1, 2026 at 12:00pm ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-UNIV

Event family

Will Trump say ".

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$533

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Trump Kennedy Center 65¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

22126.2%

IY (No)

21.2%

Adj IY

11063%

CRI

32

Overround

1.6%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

political

Full indicator table

22126.2%
21.2%
Adj IY
11063%
32
Overround
1.6%

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