Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
31%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$137
19 contracts
Closes
May 3, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets” vs “CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: CA Mineiro (-1.5)
0x77f6aa…9275
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8d75f4…344f
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8ee9ee…0daa
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe6b23a…29ea
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1768e0…f921
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xe3945e…a082
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: CA Juventud (-1.5)
0x3602f0…04da
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: CA Mineiro (-2.5)
0x414244…122c
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets: CA Juventud (-2.5)
0x75285d…91d1
Cluster 2
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x31951d…fba5
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xb669de…1baf
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xde8096…c4da
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
0xd7d8f7…6414
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)
0x3e4bfc…77e0
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)
0x34cc52…06dd
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x164f43…5e38
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)
0x49cffa…0f8c
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe4a29d…7751
Cluster 3
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)
0x879d11…150c
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.