SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsKalshirefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 8, 2026 · 5d

Dogecoin price range on Apr 21, 2026

Leader sits at 52% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 51%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

52%

$0.105 to 0.1099999

runner-up 51¢leader 52¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

51¢

$0.105 to 0.1099999

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$89

thin orderbook

Closes

May 8, 2026

5 days

Venue

Kalshi

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtoday$0.105 to 0.1099999: 51% (3 days, 2 points)$0.105 to 0.1099999: 51% on 2026-05-03$0.11 to 0.1149999: 11% (3 days, 2 points)$0.11 to 0.1149999: 11% on 2026-05-03$0.105 to 0.1099999: 14% (3 days, 3 points)$0.105 to 0.1099999: 14% on 2026-05-03
$0.105 to 0.109999951¢$0.11 to 0.114999911¢$0.105 to 0.109999914¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 3$0.1 to 0.104999912pp1123¢ · Kalshi
  • May 3$0.105 to 0.109999912pp3951¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.