HYPE price on Apr 26, 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 19 contracts. Kalshi at 47%, Polymarket at 34% — a 13pp cross-venue gap.
Implied probability
Kalshi
47%
8 contracts
Polymarket
34%
11 contracts
Cross-venue gap
13pp
wide divergence
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$3K
19 contracts
Top contract
25¢
$710 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Cross-venue edge
Kalshi 47¢ · Polymarket 34¢ · 13pp spread
Buy on Polymarket (34¢, 11 contracts) and sell on Kalshi (47¢) — assuming both contracts settle on the same outcome.
Bracket families
4 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 19% of their title tokens — “What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026” vs “Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 20
0xa4cab1…23e9
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 16
0x8555a0…b7bf
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 50
0xfd2bdf…e00e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 100
0xeae133…4467
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 54
0x08aa31…301b
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 70
0xcd9228…df8e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 66
0xda041e…7e27
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 62
0xc53e5d…ef22
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 80
0xc2b327…d9c4
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 46
0x2ccd47…3845
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 12
0x8f9956…cc8a
Cluster 2
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above 4.0%?: Above 4.0%
KXUSPPIYOY-26MAY13-T4.0
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above 4.8%?: Above 4.8%
KXUSPPIYOY-26MAY13-T4.8
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above 3.6%?: Above 3.6%
KXUSPPIYOY-26MAY13-T3.6
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above 4.2%?: Above 4.2%
KXUSPPIYOY-26MAY13-T4.2
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above 5.0%?: Above 5.0%
KXUSPPIYOY-26MAY13-T5.0
Cluster 3
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?: Above 304.0ㅤ
KXAIRFARECPI-26MAY12-T304.0
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 288.0ㅤ?: Above 288.0ㅤ
KXAIRFARECPI-26MAY12-T288.0
Cluster 4
Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Apr 2026
Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Apr 2026?: above 0%
KXEGGS-APR26-0
What moved the line
- May 1Above 4.2%↓26pp56→30¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Above 3.6%↓25pp80→55¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Above 4.2%↑24pp30→54¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Above 4.0%↓22pp68→46¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28↓ 16↑19pp19→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 11 min ago.