↓ 20 · What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026
↓ 20 is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?.
Price history
14¢ current
−18¢Contract brief
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 20
Rank
#7 of 10
Leader
↑ 80 81¢
Range
5¢-81¢
Family volume
$1.3M
Identifier
0xa4cab194...23e9
Jun 17, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#7 of 10
10 outcomes · What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1.3M
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0xa4cab194…23e9
Event family
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.3M
Outcomes
10
Highest price
↑ 80 81¢
Current share
13%
↑ 80
polymarket · 0xc2b3271feb6086186483f74883b31cf018996505827f4a23a1cc86ef03c5d9c4
↓ 50
polymarket · 0x4e3739e45ae43ca4419daca38a6964fd7acc46518380460b5a6a5b4074b4966a
↑ 90
polymarket · 0x5c627276b4011161e8d39ef469c999b8def3a98f5622b59b863d3ba614f7e3e6
↑ 100
polymarket · 0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467
↓ 40
polymarket · 0x6da4587cbe08611824fbf6cea1d99a30c30decef4e6ca0ef3410927f5d281263
↓ 30
polymarket · 0x6008e6f64728d215f88d81297cdb52c098120f8cdcce523caf43d9ded7ade813
↓ 20
polymarket · 0xa4cab194f7487ecbe058aa8278a45a51487afe828af6c3c2eed5b096639c23e9
↓ 16
polymarket · 0x8555a03570e1eb69c94ab5d41796058d8fcb9e909a6464e6cec9ff85d199b7bf
↓ 12
polymarket · 0x8f9956410b9b8ef4c112ea03800920bc445deff855d57fb156c9ab9b56aecc8a
↓ 8
polymarket · 0x587313a1b7d4eae36578004e3333e3d8bc9159177ecd255ff61b947a4e636b02
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.