HYPE price up in next 15 mins
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 18 contracts. Kalshi at 29%, Polymarket at 29%.
Implied probability
Kalshi
29%
6 contracts
Polymarket
29%
12 contracts
Cross-venue gap
0pp
tight
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$2K
18 contracts
Top contract
25¢
$710 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
7 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 10% of their title tokens — “What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026” vs “H100 SXM price up in next week”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 20
0xa4cab1…23e9
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 16
0x8555a0…b7bf
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 100
0xeae133…4467
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 54
0x08aa31…301b
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 8
0x587313…6b02
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 70
0xcd9228…df8e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 66
0xda041e…7e27
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 62
0xc53e5d…ef22
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 50
0xfd2bdf…e00e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 80
0xc2b327…d9c4
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 58
0x8f1a32…0660
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 12
0x8f9956…cc8a
Cluster 2
H100 SXM price up in next week
H100 SXM price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 2.28
KXH100W-26MAY08-2.28
Cluster 3
RTX 5090 price up in next week
RTX 5090 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 0.48
KXRTX5090W-26MAY08-0.48
Cluster 4
What will Ferrari N.V. say during their next earnings call
What will Ferrari N.V. say during their next earnings call?: Hypersail
KXEARNINGSMENTIONRACE-26MAY05-HYPE
Cluster 5
A100 SXM4 price up in next week
A100 SXM4 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 1.14
KXA100W-26MAY08-1.14
Cluster 6
B200 price up in next week
B200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 5.03
KXB200W-26MAY08-5.03
Cluster 7
H200 price up in next week
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 4.09
KXH200W-26MAY08-4.09
What moved the line
- May 2Price to Beat: 2.28↑38pp2→40¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30Hypersail↑20pp46→66¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28↓ 16↑19pp19→38¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 30↓ 12↓19pp27→8¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↓ 12↑18pp9→27¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.