Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 3 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
3 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−14pp
12h ago
24h volume
$1K
3 contracts
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
58 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 3 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Cade Cunningham be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team
Will Cade Cunningham be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Cade Cunningham
KXNBA1STTEAM-26-CCUN
Cluster 2
Will Jaylen Brown be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team
Will Jaylen Brown be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Jaylen Brown
KXNBA1STTEAM-26-JBRO
Cluster 3
Will Jalen Brunson be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team
Will Jalen Brunson be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Jalen Brunson
KXNBA1STTEAM-26-JBRU
Analysis
This probability reflects the likelihood that Kawhi Leonard will earn first-team All-Pro honors for the 2025-26 season. At 46%, the market suggests roughly even odds, indicating meaningful uncertainty about whether he'll rank among the top two at his position. His selection depends primarily on his health status and playing time—Kawhi has dealt with ongoing availability concerns that could limit his statistical accumulation relative to competitors. The All-Pro voting typically concludes in early 2026 based on regular-season performance, so the key driver will be actual games played and statistical production through the season. Related markets show other guards like Cade Cunningham (70¢) are viewed as more likely first-team candidates, while Jaylen Brown (26¢) faces longer odds, suggesting positional competition and health narratives differ across players.
- ›Kawhi's games played in 2025-26 regular season—historical hamstring and knee issues could limit availability
- ›Per-game scoring and efficiency compared to other guards competing for first-team spots
- ›Team winning record and playoff seeding—All-Pro voters weight both individual performance and team success
- ›Media narrative and voter perception of 'peak performance' vs. durability, which has historically affected his All-Pro selections
- ›Timing of All-Pro voting in February 2026, which depends on complete regular-season statistics and voter consensus
What moved the line
- Apr 26Cade Cunningham↓24pp69→45¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 27Cade Cunningham↑14pp45→59¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Cade Cunningham↑11pp59→70¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Cade Cunningham↑10pp55→65¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 29Cade Cunningham↓8pp70→62¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.