Will The Gatos Guapos win the Rankers vs. The Gatos Guapos Overwatch match
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 2 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
38%
2 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5K
2 contracts
Top contract
55¢
$4K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will ZETA DIVISION win the Falcons vs. ZETA DIVISION Overwatch match
Cluster 2
Will Falcons win the Falcons vs. ZETA DIVISION Overwatch match
Will Falcons win the Falcons vs. ZETA DIVISION Overwatch match?: Falcons
KXOWGAME-26MAY030330FALZETA-FAL
What moved the line
- May 3ZETA DIVISION↑38pp29→67¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Falcons↓8pp16→8¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in sports
- PSL Game PredictionsPeshawar Zalmilast 76% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (38% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In sports
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 h ago.