Sagan Tosu vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 43% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
43%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
51¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū” vs “Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)
0xeba801…f645
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0xc2e6a4…5682
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x37d876…81d9
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xac71aa…fa1b
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1caf69…9174
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)
0xf4a4fa…188d
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū: Draw (Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū)
0x374006…53c4
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-2.5)
0x8122ee…88bf
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)
0xc6d7d5…3edc
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0bd2ca…5488
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4ff230…0214
Cluster 2
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori: Sagan Tosu
0x54360a…0fc4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori: Gainare Tottori
0x2e8cb9…fdb0
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-1.5)
0xe81828…a3a4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb085f4…d24e
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x57869b…5019
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2d68ef…5be9
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
0xde051c…f56b
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-2.5)
0x5900f7…c899
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc62c80…3ca6
What moved the line
- May 3Gainare Tottori↓8pp40→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sagan Tosu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Ryūkyū (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.