SimpleFunctions
19 contractsKalshirefreshed 7 min ago

Shiba Inu price on Apr 21, 2026

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 44% across 19 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

44%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

44%

19 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$1K

19 contracts

Top contract

33¢

$1K · Kalshi

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 33% (26 days, 26 points)Aggregate: 33% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 19 contracts · 26d

Bracket families

5 clusters across 19 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above” vs “Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for April 2026 be above

9 contracts$26

Cluster 2

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above

5 contracts$59

Cluster 3

Will United States - Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 6

3 contracts$0

Cluster 4

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026

1 contract$1K

Cluster 5

Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Apr 2026

1 contract$88

What moved the line

  • Apr 29Above 3.4%31pp5889¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Above 4.2%26pp5630¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Above 3.6%25pp8055¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Above 3.8%25pp7651¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Above 3.4%25pp8964¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.