Will the silver close price be above 77.75 USD/t.oz on Apr 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 86% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 86%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $68
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
86¢
above $68.25
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$3K
modest
Closes
May 29, 2026
26 days
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the silver close price be above
Will the silver close price be above 76.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $76.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.50
Will the silver close price be above 76.25 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $76.25
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.25
Will the silver close price be above 76 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $76
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76
Will the silver close price be above 68.75 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $68.75
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T68.75
Will the silver close price be above 68.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $68.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T68.50
Will the silver close price be above 75.25 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $75.25
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T75.25
Will the silver close price be above 75.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $75.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T75.50
Will the silver close price be above 75 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $75
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T75
Will the silver close price be above 76.75 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $76.75
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.75
Will the silver close price be above 74.75 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $74.75
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T74.75
Will the silver close price be above 74 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $74
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T74
Will the silver close price be above 73.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $73.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T73.50
Will the silver close price be above 75.75 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $75.75
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T75.75
Will the silver close price be above 68.25 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $68.25
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T68.25
Will the silver close price be above 68 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $68
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T68
Will the silver close price be above 69.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $69.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T69.50
Will the silver close price be above 69.25 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $69.25
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T69.25
Will the silver close price be above 69 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $69
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T69
Will the silver close price be above 74.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $74.50
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T74.50
Will the silver close price be above 74.25 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $74.25
KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T74.25
What moved the line
- May 3above $76.50↑24pp22→46¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $68↓15pp95→80¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $68.25↓15pp95→80¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $69↓14pp92→78¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $68.75↓12pp91→79¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.