Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

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96¢
Bid/Ask 95/96¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $20·OI $2,288.858·Closes Sep 1, 2026·130d remaining
0x16e46e2082e60439d7056daed1ad7ec807fd7d20f600bb9b6dbec01e1f807d96
7-day price8 snapshots · 4 regime
96¢96¢ current
Apr 2294¢Apr 23
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 59¢+37¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.79IY 802.4%Close-time delta 2362h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 11.7%
IY (No) 6737.1%
Adj IY 3369%
CRI 24
Overround 3.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)11.7%
IY (No)6737.1%
Adj IY3369%
CRI24
Overround3.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 11:30:16 PM
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 11:23:13 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x16e46e2082e60439d7056daed1ad7ec807fd7d20f600bb9b6dbec01e1f807d96 yes 100

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