What is the current probability for "Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 60¢ (60% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 30, 2026. 38 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 647.5% and 1457.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Polymarket, closing May 30, 2026.

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60¢

Bid/Ask 55/64¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $532.603·Closes May 30, 2026·38d remaining

0x181cd910ae5d47f9a39f85d4f06aeb99fa03b08aedb02470cca889684b06e0c3

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 33¢(Δ +27¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 3005.0%Close-time delta 310h

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 647.5%

IY (No) 1457.0%

Adj IY 619%

CRI 2

Overround 1.1%

LAS 0.15

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	647.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1457.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	619%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.15	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 10:18:33 AM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x181cd910ae5d47f9a39f85d4f06aeb99fa03b08aedb02470cca889684b06e0c3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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