Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?

Prediction markets currently give a 76% probability that Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?. This contract trades at 76¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.

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76¢
Bid/Ask 75/77¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $532.86·OI $3,117.903·Closes Apr 29, 2026·1d remaining
0x1d8d0ed997c870e00a7b13e39ff94fea8b3e80b6f728c33f936da4341270bd4b
7-day price54 snapshots · 4 regime
77¢76¢ current
Apr 2674¢Apr 28
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 76¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 4996.2%Close-time delta 38h

Resolution rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 15942.3%
IY (No) >100,000%
Adj IY 32667%
CRI 3
RV 124%
VR 0.10
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)15942.3%
IY (No)>100,000%
Adj IY32667%
CRI3
RV124%
VR0.10
IAR1.0/h
Overround6.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 6:48:49 AM
Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 6:38:27 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1d8d0ed997c870e00a7b13e39ff94fea8b3e80b6f728c33f936da4341270bd4b yes 100

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