Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Garcilaso: O/U 3.5

This illiquid micro-market on an upcoming Peru Liga 1 match shows extreme yield asymmetry, with the "No" side offering a 4,003% implied yield versus 26,469% for "Yes," suggesting severe mispricing or a liquidity trap. The 31¢ bid-ask spread represents 110% of the current 28¢ price, and with only $150.51 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, execution risk is substantial despite the market closing in just 4 days. The 491% realized volatility and neutral regime score indicate this is a highly speculative position with minimal information flow (1.1 arrivals/hour), making the extreme yields unreliable indicators of true expected returns.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Club Universitario de Deportes and CD Garcilaso, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Club Universitario de Deportes and CD Garcilaso combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Trade