Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 47/52¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $9.615·OI $3,085.668·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x34a4d29cc8e7227543fd3bbe7b6b2313fac9cc3b2ae9bcace5f88bd17c990b67
7-day price267 snapshots · 49 regime
65¢50¢ current
Apr 835¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 531.6%
IY (No) 531.6%
Adj IY 239%
CRI 1
Overround 0.0%
LAS 0.10
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)531.6%
IY (No)531.6%
Adj IY239%
CRI1
Overround0.0%
LAS0.10

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.568
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:22:01 AM
Observability highEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x34a4d29cc8e7227543fd3bbe7b6b2313fac9cc3b2ae9bcace5f88bd17c990b67 yes 100

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