Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $196.6k open interest and a massive 53¢ spread, suggesting the 37¢ price may not reflect true probability and could face significant slippage on execution. The astronomical implied yields (13,545% for Yes, 4,672% for No) are artifacts of the wide bid-ask spread rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities, and with only 5 days to expiration, any position carries substantial cliff risk. The 266% realized volatility and stalled price action indicate this market is likely illiquid and potentially abandoned by active traders.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If CA Rosario Central wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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