Will Los Angeles L score over 89.5 points?
Prediction markets currently give a 98% probability that Will Los Angeles L score over 89.5 points?. This contract trades at 98¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a 38¢ spread, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect true probability given the game's original April 21 date has already passed relative to the May 6 close.
Analysis
This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a 38¢ spread, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect true probability given the game's original April 21 date has already passed relative to the May 6 close. The astronomical implied yields (1618.8% Yes, 3087% No) and extreme realized volatility of 1093% indicate either a data error, rescheduled game status that's unclear, or a ghost market with no active participants. The high info arrival rate (2.3/h) and recent price movement from 56¢ to 58¢ suggest some market activity exists, but the fundamental disconnect between the historical game date and current pricing warrants immediate clarification on resolution eligibility before any position-taking.
Resolution rules
If the number of points scored by Los Angeles L in the Houston vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 is Above 89.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26APR21HOULAL-LAL89 yes 100