What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 16¢ (16% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 8 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 24812.2% and 900.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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16¢

Bid/Ask 10/21¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $45.36·OI $2,822.717·Closes Apr 30, 2026·8d remaining

0x4b1636bb98551e055cbe63f0bd91172f07e78dc175cb98f1ae2365590cfe78bc

7-day price5 snapshots · 2 regime

16¢16¢ current

Apr 2215¢Apr 22

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 15¢(Δ +1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.91IY 24005.7%Close-time delta 21h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 24812.2%

IY (No) 900.2%

Adj IY 3877%

CRI 5

Overround 0.1%

LAS 0.69

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	24812.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	900.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3877%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.69	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

11¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:45:42 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x4b1636bb98551e055cbe63f0bd91172f07e78dc175cb98f1ae2365590cfe78bc yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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