Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Prediction markets currently give a 51% probability that Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?. This contract trades at 51¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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51¢
Bid/Ask 12/89¢·Spread 77¢·Vol $0·OI $131.8·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x52df1d538aca1242b08834637708b046c15732a9aff3211ce6f6c240a753f41f
7-day price538 snapshots · 6 regime
86¢51¢ current
Apr 846¢Apr 29
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 76¢-25¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 11.8%Close-time delta 17559h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 143.0%
IY (No) 155.0%
Adj IY 155%
CRI 1
RV 2289%
VR 22.10
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)143.0%
IY (No)155.0%
Adj IY155%
CRI1
RV2289%
VR22.10
IAR3.0/h
Overround7.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
77¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:14:37 PM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:08:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x52df1d538aca1242b08834637708b046c15732a9aff3211ce6f6c240a753f41f yes 100

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