Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 73% probability that Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?. This contract trades at 73¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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73¢
Bid/Ask 71/74¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $2,160.648·OI $16,607.005·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0x6cf5831fc81cc7789fdb21ebad7a95156110d3693b8aa10618f4857d7c1012d6
7-day price237 snapshots · 37 regime
83¢72¢ current
Apr 855¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 68¢+5¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 87.6%Close-time delta 4047h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 518.6%
IY (No) 3429.3%
Adj IY 3286%
CRI 3
RV 136%
VR 0.58
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)518.6%
IY (No)3429.3%
Adj IY3286%
CRI3
RV136%
VR0.58
IAR0.9/h
Overround0.0%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 3:14:38 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 3:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6cf5831fc81cc7789fdb21ebad7a95156110d3693b8aa10618f4857d7c1012d6 yes 100

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