What is the current probability for "Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 27, 2026.

Where can I trade "Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

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2¢

Bid/Ask 1/4¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $35,813.79·Closes Jun 27, 2026

0x6d4e4bf288d8caa229a72a48b985722df1b803e11a9d0d7e9a3fa8275ecccb34

7-day price546 snapshots

11¢2¢ current

Apr 112¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 2:01:28 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x6d4e4bf288d8caa229a72a48b985722df1b803e11a9d0d7e9a3fa8275ecccb34 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →