San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Score

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 55¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This both-teams-to-score market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $120.777 in open interest, creating a dangerously wide 30¢ spread and inflated implied yields exceeding 3,900% on the Yes side.

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55¢
Bid/Ask 54/56¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $29,364.037·Closes Apr 23, 2026·1d remaining
0x70d09bb28f57d30bd717a6764fc76a940c7102acbbea5fee9678d53c961b99c9
7-day price181 snapshots · 6 regime
69¢56¢ current
Apr 1338¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This both-teams-to-score market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $120.777 in open interest, creating a dangerously wide 30¢ spread and inflated implied yields exceeding 3,900% on the Yes side. The 58¢ price has drifted up 6¢ over seven days in a neutral regime with minimal information arrival (0.5/h), suggesting the market may be stale rather than reflecting genuine probability shifts. With only 7 days to the April 22 MLS matchup and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this illiquid market presents significant execution risk for traders seeking to enter or exit positions.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC, scheduled for April 22 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 51667.2%
IY (No) 77181.9%
Adj IY 17601%
CRI 1
RV 154%
VR 0.07
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)51667.2%
IY (No)77181.9%
Adj IY17601%
CRI1
RV154%
VR0.07
IAR0.8/h
Overround2.3%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:19:19 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x70d09bb28f57d30bd717a6764fc76a940c7102acbbea5fee9678d53c961b99c9 yes 100

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