Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

The Packers' NFC Championship contract is trading at a historically depressed 8¢ with an extraordinary 1,480% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting severe underpricing relative to a team with legitimate playoff contention prospects. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $39.6M open interest and a wide 3¢ spread indicates this is a low-liquidity, stale-priced market where the extreme yield likely reflects illiquidity premium rather than true probability assessment. With 284 days to expiration and a neutral regime score, this represents a potential value opportunity if Green Bay's actual championship odds exceed the 8% implied probability, though the lack of recent trading activity warrants caution about execution risk.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

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