Will Warren Schaeffer win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.39M open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid or held by a small number of traders. The 25¢ spread and 989.9% implied yield on the "Yes" side indicate severe mispricing or a highly speculative long position, though Warren Schaeffer's actual managerial prospects for 2026 are unclear from market context alone. With 247 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, the market lacks conviction, and the high cliff risk index (7) suggests potential for sharp repricing if Schaeffer's employment or team circumstances change materially.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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