Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

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15¢
Bid/Ask 10/20¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $291.27·OI $2,856.978·Closes Sep 1, 2026·130d remaining
0x91944328f55f86f36ac0861a04ce68169efae1023c8e5ffce6937ff974125090
7-day price12 snapshots · 2 regime
17¢15¢ current
Apr 2214¢Apr 23
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 4¢+11¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.79IY 27713.6%Close-time delta 2362h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1590.7%
IY (No) 49.5%
Adj IY 795%
CRI 6
Overround 3.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1590.7%
IY (No)49.5%
Adj IY795%
CRI6
Overround3.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 11:31:59 PM
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 11:23:13 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x91944328f55f86f36ac0861a04ce68169efae1023c8e5ffce6937ff974125090 yes 100

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