Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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6¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $21,310.644·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xa32587f6a3b3fa89d71c5648c526fe69791ef6593159e682f1ca5d4dc364f974
7-day price56 snapshots · 5 regime
6¢6¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2263.2%
IY (No) 9.2%
Adj IY 1132%
CRI 16
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2263.2%
IY (No)9.2%
Adj IY1132%
CRI16
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:21:31 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa32587f6a3b3fa89d71c5648c526fe69791ef6593159e682f1ca5d4dc364f974 yes 100

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