Will Derrick Lewis be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will Derrick Lewis be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 1/20¢·Spread 19¢·Vol $0·OI $349.017·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xb95ae85231214f719f61ff196c9e3f6bb081dfec0f0ebcd5f8517fe0efbde6d2
7-day price125 snapshots · 2 regime
28¢11¢ current
Apr 811¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1167.6%
IY (No) 17.8%
Adj IY 584%
CRI 8
Overround 0.8%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1167.6%
IY (No)17.8%
Adj IY584%
CRI8
Overround0.8%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
19¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 2:00:44 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb95ae85231214f719f61ff196c9e3f6bb081dfec0f0ebcd5f8517fe0efbde6d2 yes 100

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