Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
███████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
18¢Bid/Ask 15/20¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $765.82·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xb95e2eed6d79fed611ef7d25fbda14a8eb54c951787dba969c6e1021efdde0e4
7-day price65 snapshots · 2 regime
19¢18¢ current
Apr 816¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 20¢(Δ -2¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 2:08:07 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:18 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0xb95e2eed6d79fed611ef7d25fbda14a8eb54c951787dba969c6e1021efdde0e4 yes 100