What is the current probability for "Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 24¢ (24% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 28, 2026. 36 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3251.7% and 324.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Polymarket, closing May 28, 2026.

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24¢

Bid/Ask 15/33¢·Spread 18¢·Vol $74.851·OI $418.079·Closes May 28, 2026·36d remaining

0xc08d2c4adafae24cb956c6baee9c0ed5ebb2d95656ad51aa61ba4e54878758cf

7-day price3 snapshots · 3 regime

24¢24¢ current

Apr 912¢Apr 12

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94Close-time delta 70h

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3251.7%

IY (No) 324.3%

Adj IY 1626%

CRI 3

Overround 0.7%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3251.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	324.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1626%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

18¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 11:06:06 AM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:53:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xc08d2c4adafae24cb956c6baee9c0ed5ebb2d95656ad51aa61ba4e54878758cf yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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