Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. CDT Real Oruro end in a draw?

This Bolivian football match draw market shows extreme distress signals with a 46,892% annualized yield on the Yes side, zero 24-hour volume, and a massive 19¢ spread despite only 4 days to expiration—suggesting either severe illiquidity or a pricing error on a low-interest contract. The 2,252% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 5 indicate this market has experienced sharp historical moves, likely driven by sporadic information arrivals (1.5/h) rather than genuine trading activity. With $184.67k open interest but no recent volume, this appears to be a stranded position where the Yes side is dramatically underpriced relative to the No side, possibly due to lack of market makers willing to quote both sides.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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