Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 8/16¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $6·OI $1,804.191·Closes Apr 30, 2026·8d remaining
0xc264391c0d4bce49fb833bfae127d7e8f140c231c34022d702e1e68ff03116b1
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 25¢-13¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.91IY 12817.5%Close-time delta 21h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 34989.1%
IY (No) 650.6%
Adj IY 5831%
CRI 7
Overround 0.1%
LAS 0.67
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)34989.1%
IY (No)650.6%
Adj IY5831%
CRI7
Overround0.1%
LAS0.67

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:28:17 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc264391c0d4bce49fb833bfae127d7e8f140c231c34022d702e1e68ff03116b1 yes 100

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