Will Joey Bosa play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?
Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Joey Bosa play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing August 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5.58 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 49¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5.58 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 49¢ price potentially unreliable. The 97¢ spread is unusually wide and the 277.9% implied yield on the Yes side suggests either mispricing or very low confidence in liquidity, typical of thin markets where the last trade may not reflect true consensus. With 137 days to expiration and Bosa currently under contract with the Chargers, the neutral regime and flat 7-day price action indicate minimal new information, though traders should be cautious given the severe liquidity constraints.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next team Joey Bosa officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Joey Bosa does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xdca222fcc0719802f6e54c804a269e8723f6023491105c2592b7985b2cfaa036 yes 100