Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

The Eagles' 4¢ price reflects a heavily discounted championship probability, with the extreme 2512% implied yield on Yes positions indicating substantial asymmetric payoff potential for believers in a long-shot outcome. Despite robust open interest of $437.5K, the modest 24h volume of $18.7K and zero spread suggest limited active trading, which combined with the elevated Cliff Risk Index of 24 raises concerns about liquidity concentration and potential slippage on larger orders. With 349 days to expiration, this market has ample time for fundamental shifts in team performance, though the neutral regime score (0.341) suggests current pricing reflects relatively stable market consensus around the Eagles' championship odds.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regime

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