What is the current probability for "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 95¢ (95% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 23, 2027. 397 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 75.3% and 112.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?

Prediction markets currently give a 95% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?. This contract trades at 95¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027. This market shows strong bullish momentum with the price surging 60% over seven days to 40¢, though the $412.65 open interest and $20.85 daily volume indicate thin liquidity that could amplify future moves.

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95¢

Bid/Ask 55/93¢·Spread 38¢·Vol $28.01·OI $866.29·Closes May 23, 2027·397d remaining

KXANIMEBSA-26-KAT

7-day price184 snapshots · 6 regime

69¢55¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows strong bullish momentum with the price surging 60% over seven days to 40¢, though the $412.65 open interest and $20.85 daily volume indicate thin liquidity that could amplify future moves. The 136.3% implied yield on the Yes side appears inflated relative to the neutral regime score (0.409) and modest 402-day timeframe, suggesting either overpriced conviction or limited market depth driving the recent rally. The 12¢ spread is notably wide for a Kalshi contract, reinforcing concerns about execution costs in this low-volume venue.

Resolution rules

If Katsuki Bakugo has won Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 75.3%

IY (No) 112.5%

Adj IY 56%

CRI 1

Overround -0.3%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	75.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	112.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	56%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

38¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 1:56:49 AM

Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:17 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXANIMEBSA-26-KAT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →