2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027. This market shows extreme yield asymmetry with a 1045% annualized return on Yes positions versus just 7.9% on No, suggesting severe underpricing of the DAN DA DAN Season 2 outcome relative to baseline probabilities.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 8/18¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $55.59·OI $168.04·Closes May 23, 2027·396d remaining
KXANIMEBCD-26-DAN
7-day price65 snapshots · 2 regime
13¢8¢ current
Apr 86¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme yield asymmetry with a 1045% annualized return on Yes positions versus just 7.9% on No, suggesting severe underpricing of the DAN DA DAN Season 2 outcome relative to baseline probabilities. The 10¢ spread is notably wide for a Kalshi market, and the $83.45 open interest combined with just $10.5 in 24-hour volume indicates thin liquidity that could amplify price swings. With 402 days until expiry and a moderate cliff risk index of 12, there's substantial time for the market to reprice, though the recent 25% price movement (6¢ to 8¢) suggests emerging conviction among traders.

Resolution rules

If DAN DA DAN Season 2 has won Best Character Design at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1058.9%
IY (No) 8.0%
Adj IY 529%
CRI 12
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1058.9%
IY (No)8.0%
Adj IY529%
CRI12
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 4:28:34 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 4:23:18 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXANIMEBCD-26-DAN yes 100

Related concepts

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