2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that 2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2027. This Kirsten Dunst Best Actress nomination market shows extreme illiquidity with only $138 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This Kirsten Dunst Best Actress nomination market shows extreme illiquidity with only $138 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable. The 591.8% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the thin order book and wide 7¢ spread, suggesting this contract is severely underpriced relative to Dunst's actual nomination odds. With 624 days until expiry and a 10 Cliff Risk Index, the market has ample time for repricing, but traders should expect significant slippage on any meaningful position entry.
Resolution rules
If Kirsten Dunst has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXOSCARNOMACTR-27-KIR yes 100