Will The College Dropout by Kanye West have above 16,264,832 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will The College Dropout by Kanye West have above 16,264,832 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, paired with a massive 96-cent bid-ask spread that renders the 0% implied probability unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, paired with a massive 96-cent bid-ask spread that renders the 0% implied probability unreliable. The flat 7-day price action at 2 cents suggests minimal market activity rather than genuine conviction that the threshold won't be met, making this essentially an inactive contract. With resolution just days away (closing April 25, 2026 for an April 17-23 tracking week), any late liquidity would likely come from participants with actual streaming data rather than speculative traders.
Resolution rules
If The College Dropout has above 16,264,832 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-DROPOUTYEEZY26APR23-16.3M yes 100