Will Starboy by The Weeknd have above 48,931,072 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Starboy by The Weeknd have above 48,931,072 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 96¢ spread is exceptionally wide, indicating virtually no market participants are willing to trade at any price point. Given that Starboy is a 2015 mega-hit with billions of total streams, achieving 48.9 million streams in a single week seems plausible during normal listening patterns, suggesting the 0% implied probability significantly undervalues the Yes outcome—this appears to be a dead market rather than a genuine bearish consensus.
Resolution rules
If Starboy has above 48,931,072 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-STARBWEEKND26APR23-48.9M yes 100