Will Watch The Throne by Kanye West have above 11,351,139 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Watch The Throne by Kanye West have above 11,351,139 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 96¢ spread is exceptionally wide, indicating virtually no market participants are willing to trade at any price point. Given that Watch The Throne is a 2011 collaborative album with established streaming patterns, a 0% implied probability seems disconnected from baseline expectations—the market likely lacks sufficient trader interest rather than reflecting genuine certainty the album won't reach 11.35 million streams in that specific week.
Resolution rules
If Watch The Throne has above 11,351,139 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-THRONEYEEZY26APR23-11.4M yes 100