2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027. This market is essentially illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $201 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 0/5¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $201·Closes May 23, 2027·396d remaining
KXANIMEBCD-26-TIE

Analysis

5d ago

This market is essentially illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $201 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 1727.6% implied yield on Yes reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine opportunity, while the 0% risk-adjusted yield and 19 cliff risk index suggest significant uncertainty about whether this specific outcome can even be verified at resolution. With 401 days until expiry and a stagnant price, this appears to be a speculative micro-position with minimal market depth rather than an active prediction opportunity.

Resolution rules

If Tie has won Best Character Design at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1749.7%
IY (No) 4.8%
Adj IY 875%
CRI 19
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1749.7%
IY (No)4.8%
Adj IY875%
CRI19
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:29:06 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:23:17 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXANIMEBCD-26-TIE yes 100

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