What is the current probability for "San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 63¢ (63% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1645.9% and 3408.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 63% probability that San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro Winner?. This contract trades at 63¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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63¢mid

Bid/Ask 59/67¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining

KXBOLPDIVGAME-26APR23SANCDT-SAN

7-day price12 snapshots · 3 regime

60¢59¢ current

Apr 205¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins the San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Cdt Real Oruro professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1645.9%

IY (No) 3408.2%

Adj IY 3408%

CRI 1

RV 1446%

VR 3.30

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1645.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3408.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3408%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1446%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.30	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 9:20:19 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBOLPDIVGAME-26APR23SANCDT-SAN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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