Will the brent crude oil close price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will the brent crude oil close price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24-hour volume and $3 open interest, making the 90% yes price potentially unreliable despite the tight 3¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24-hour volume and $3 open interest, making the 90% yes price potentially unreliable despite the tight 3¢ spread. The astronomical 100,000% implied yield on the no side signals severe mispricing or a liquidity crisis rather than genuine market conviction that Brent will close below $80/bbl in 6 days. The recent price movement from 88¢ to 94¢ combined with the high cliff risk index of 16 suggests this contract may face resolution uncertainty or execution challenges near expiry.
Resolution rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil using the BRENTN6(July 2026) contract on April 24, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 79.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBRENTW-26APR2417-T79.99 yes 100