Will the brent crude oil close price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 97% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 97%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $87.99
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
97¢
above $85.99
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$27K
liquid
Closes
Jun 5, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
12 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the brent crude oil close price be above
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $93.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T93.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $97.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T97.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $95.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T95.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $91.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T91.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $87.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T87.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $99.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T99.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $89.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T89.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $101.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T101.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 71.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $71.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T71.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $107.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T107.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $85.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T85.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 81.99 USD/Bbl on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $81.99
KXBRENTW-26JUN0517-T81.99
What moved the line
- Jun 1above $97.99↑21pp13→34¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 3above $93.99↑20pp54→74¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 3above $91.99↑20pp67→87¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 4above $97.99↓19pp46→27¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 1above $95.99↑19pp21→40¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in oil
- Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be Between 85.00 and 85.99 on Apr 24, 2026$96.00 to $96.99last 38% · 1d
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?: ↑ $110last 49% · 4d
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.920last 85% · 5d
- Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60last 97% · 6d
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.975Above 4.540last 96% · 6d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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