Bitcoin price on Apr 24, 2026?

This Bitcoin price market shows extreme yield asymmetry with the No side offering 18,836.7% annualized return versus just 2,325.4% for Yes, suggesting severe mispricing or structural arbitrage opportunity given the tight 72,499.99 threshold and current 77% Yes probability. The market has experienced significant recent price compression (86¢ to 75¢ over 7 days) with only 6 days to expiry and modest $3,219 daily volume, creating potential liquidity constraints if traders attempt to exploit the yield discrepancy. The 250% realized volatility and 3.9 information arrivals per hour indicate elevated uncertainty despite the neutral regime, though the 3¢ spread remains reasonable for a market this close to resolution.

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 72499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade