Which College Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Which College Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing September 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,316 open interest, making the 7¢ spread unreliable for actual execution.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,316 open interest, making the 7¢ spread unreliable for actual execution. The 8613.5% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the thin market rather than a genuine opportunity, reflecting how small position sizes can create outsized percentage returns in low-liquidity venues. With 137 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the 10¢ price appears to price in a modest but non-trivial probability that Rutgers' head coach departs before the September 1, 2026 deadline.
Resolution rules
If the head coach of the Rutgers College Football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXCOACHOUTNCAAFB-1-26-RUTG yes 100