Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $210 billion total trading volume in Q1 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 25% probability that Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $210 billion total trading volume in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 25¢ on Kalshi, closing June 6, 2026. This illiquid micro-contract shows extreme pricing distortion, with the Yes side offering a 6,138% implied yield against a negligible 19% probability and zero 24-hour volume.
Analysis
This illiquid micro-contract shows extreme pricing distortion, with the Yes side offering a 6,138% implied yield against a negligible 19% probability and zero 24-hour volume. The $4.98 open interest and 8¢ spread suggest this market lacks sufficient depth for reliable price discovery, making the astronomical yield likely a mispricing artifact rather than genuine opportunity. With 48 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 8, the contract faces meaningful execution risk, and traders should demand substantial liquidity premiums before committing capital to such thin markets.
Resolution rules
If Coinbase Global Inc. reports Above 210000000000 total trading volume in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXCOINBASE-26MAYVOL-210000000000 yes 100